Highlights:
- COVID cases could rise from late December to February, although the impact will be less severe than this year’s second wave in April-May.
- Scientific studies suggest people who are naturally infected with COVID and recover before vaccination have “hybrid immunity,” which is superior to vaccinated people.
According to several experts, the chance of a big third wave sweeping the country is less likely now that coronavirus infections have dropped in the country even after Diwali.
Experts also linked the drop in new cases to a major portion of the population having previously been exposed to the virus during the second wave, as well as a more aggressive vaccination campaign.
While there is always the risk of a new transmissible variant and the arrival of winter in many regions in the country, they believe a third wave as destructive as the second is unlikely.
Coronavirus infections may increase from late December to February, but the impact will be less severe than the catastrophic second wave in April-May this year, when many died and more were hospitalised.
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Hybrid Immunity & Vaccination:
According to experts, the decline in coronavirus cases in the country is due to hybrid immunity.
Many scientific studies have discovered that those who become naturally infected with COVID and recover prior to vaccination exhibit “hybrid immunity,” which is superior to those who solely have antibodies from vaccination.
“Serosurveys have showed that the majority of the population is likely to be infected,” said Agrawal, director of the CSIR-Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology in New Delhi.
According to the most recent poll, the findings of which were released in July, more than one-third of India’s population has already been exposed to COVID.
Anurag Agrawal, a virologist, also stated that the decrease in the number of cases can be due to a major portion of the population getting infected by the Delta strain during the second wave, followed by most adults receiving at least one vaccination dose.
